Australian Dollar Brief

Task
You work in the Foreign Exchange division of Commonwealth Treasury. You have been asked to formulate a view of the expected movement in the Australian dollar, with respect to the US dollar, over the next 12 months. You are to communicate this view in a brief to your manager, that summarises and collates all the relevant influences and comes up with a concluding comment regarding the likely direction of change.
You have collected some main pieces of information from your research already.
1. World commodity prices are expected to decline in the next 12 months due to an easing in the growth rate of China
2. US interest rates will continue to be a historic lows
3. Australian interest rates will be under pressure to rise due to higher than expected inflation levels
4. The Australian economy is forecast to experience continued better than expected growth rates, particularly when compared to the US.

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