ECONOMIC FORECASTING AT BANK OF GREEN

How does the forecast for 2006 compare with the historical performance of the economy? The spreadsheet Bank of Green, found on the course website, provides quarterly data for nominal and real GDP. Use this data set to compare the projected quarterly growth rates of the economy during 2006 with the average since 1990 (which measure of GDP do you want to use?). Does this explain why investors are concerned? Determine the rate of inflation expected for 2006.

 

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